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Market reads · general commentary · not advice

Reads that show their working.

Plumbline Reads publishes a handful of forex and gold reads a week. Each one states its reasoning, says what would prove it wrong, and stays in the public record after it closes, losers included.

At most x reads a week. Some weeks, fewer. Never a call to act now.

  1. 01 · ContextStart from the weekly chart
  2. 02 · ThesisWrite the idea as a sentence
  3. 03 · InvalidationDecide what proves it wrong
  4. 04 · LevelsLevels, then the size they allow
  5. 05 · PublishTime-stamped, before the move
  6. 06 · ReviewEvery read is closed in public
Every read hangs from the same six steps, in the same order.

Where we stand

Built to survive a compliance review, not a hype cycle.

I

Reasoning shown

The thesis, the context and the invalidation are published with every read, before the levels. You can disagree with the reasoning, which is the point.

II

Losers kept

Every read is closed in public with a review. Stopped-out reads stay in the archive and in the record, with what we changed because of them.

III

Nothing sold as certain

A read is a view with a stated chance of being wrong. No countdowns, no urgency, no promises about what you will make.

From the archive

A losing read, exactly as it was published.

Browse the archive

Sample read · archive · not a recommendation

GBP/USDLongDailyPublished xx Mar xxxx

Higher low holds after the rate decision

The reasoning

  1. The rate decision left the daily higher low intact.
  2. Positioning going in was heavily short, so a neutral outcome could squeeze it.
  3. The weekly trend was still up from the start of the quarter.

What would make it wrong

A daily close below the post-decision low.

Target
1.2xxxx
Entry
1.2xxxx
Stop
1.2xxxx

Order shown, not distance. Desk confidence xx%

Stopped out−xx pips

Review. A loss, and it stays in the record. The thesis was reasonable; the entry came before the daily close it depended on. Rule since then: no entry on a daily read until the close is in.

The record, since xx Jan xxxx

Counted the boring way.

See the full record
Win rate
xx.x%
Wins ÷ (wins + losses). Scratches counted separately.
Net result
+x,xxx pips
Every read, from entry to exit, before spread.
Largest drawdown
−xx.x%
Peak to trough, at x% risk per read.
Losing reads
xxx
All of them listed. None removed.

Past and hypothetical performance.Results are measured from the levels each read published, not from anyone's actual trades. They are hypothetical, assume x% risk per read, and leave out spreads, commissions, slippage and swap. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, and nobody following a read should expect the same outcome.

Our conflict of interest, in plain words

We earn more when you trade more.

Plumbline Reads is paid a commission by its partner broker on the trading of people who open accounts through us. A signal stream that keeps you trading works for us and against you. So we hold ourselves to limits we publish.

The full conflict disclosure
  • CapNo more than x reads a week, however busy the market is.
  • GapsNo-read days are published with the reason, not left silent.
  • PauseAfter x losing reads in a row the desk stops publishing for x trading days.
  • ToneNo countdowns, no urgency and no posts that tell anyone to act now.
  • PayDesk pay is not linked to how much followers trade.

Two ways in

Follow the reads. Trade only if you choose to.

The channel is free and you never need an account to read it. If you do want to trade, we work with one partner broker and explain exactly how we are paid.

Lintel Markets is a fictional broker.